Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 8.328974 9.299627 10.396372 11.739971 13.359263 15.271264 17.735759
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 6.713550 7.924812 9.417724 11.438749 14.179855 17.893375 23.550984
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 5.885548 7.196058 8.904959 11.381863 15.042584 20.565685 30.284844
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 5.306735 6.657994 8.495847 11.304623 15.756046 23.125989 37.974992
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 4.989092 6.409745 8.419477 11.651868 17.146829 27.188602 50.859785
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 4.536896 5.914017 7.910192 11.226665 17.130614 28.680929 59.306186
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.153050 5.476080 7.431409 10.766621 16.935870 29.736032 67.562562
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.866710 5.154371 7.093092 10.485673 17.004796 31.374829 79.226044
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.669162 4.947618 6.910875 10.442731 17.521782 34.249877 98.867250
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.651754 5.011384 7.163855 11.208548 19.891179 43.012728 162.363496
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.574534 4.973397 7.242061 11.658480 21.702587 51.481969 261.230790
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.422093 4.802933 7.077089 11.606914 22.313557 56.548438 368.792298
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.265704 4.629052 6.914296 11.589161 23.157296 63.812459 611.468230
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.077616 4.393125 6.626014 11.282528 23.202497 68.279731 954.071442
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.943332 4.236998 6.466373 11.226431 23.939697 76.881187 2099.858850
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.819650 4.089836 6.308991 11.150741 24.607938 86.274149 6840.997854
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.757752 4.043347 6.333932 11.490924 26.704285 108.003720 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.613520 3.844980 6.052882 11.074354 26.182333 111.393539 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.476585 3.652557 5.770587 10.623475 25.437888 112.484391 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.369191 3.506874 5.569681 10.348032 25.254634 118.534648 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.294611 3.415411 5.468581 10.305926 25.920699 134.346883 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.304349 3.474503 5.670245 11.056602 29.969571 204.921784 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.280863 3.471674 5.746088 11.497400 33.071216 292.974833 NaN